Lorenzo Musetti vs Felix Auger Aliassime Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent six-month performance, Felix Auger Aliassime has an edge in second serve points won (48.45%) compared to Lorenzo Musetti (45.52%). Could this impact the upcoming match? Yes, as this stat is highly indicative of potential match outcomes.
• Analyzing return game statistics, Felix Auger Aliassime again leads by winning 45.00% of opponent's second serve points, slightly ahead of Musetti's 43.51%. However, Musetti surpasses on first serve returns with 25.78% compared to Aliassime's 22.67%.
• Under pressure, Felix Auger Aliassime excels slightly with a 56.67% breakpoint saving rate over Musetti's 53.39%. This could be crucial in tight scenarios.
• When looking at performances over the last year, Musetti holds a marginally better win percentage (68.42%) over Aliassime (63.33%). What does this suggest? It indicates Musetti's consistency over the past year.
• On their preferred surfaces, Auger Aliassime performs best on indoor hard courts with a win rate of 69%, while Musetti excels on clay with the same win rate. How does this surface preference affect their clash? It may not be significant unless the match happens on their unfavorable surfaces.
• Felix Auger Aliassime primarily competes in Main tour events with a 69.44% win rate, while Musetti focuses more on Masters series with a 70.37% win rate. Does it matter? It depends on the event's significance when assessing match readiness.
• In direct head-to-head matches, Lorenzo Musetti has a slight advantage, having won 4 out of 7 encounters against Felix Auger Aliassime.
• Their encounters often go the distance, with most resulting in deciding sets where Musetti has a 3 to 1 advantage.
• Considering the quality of opponents, Musetti has generally faced higher-ranked competitors, potentially adding an edge to his experience.
• If the upcoming match reaches a deciding set, Aliassime has been more successful over the last 12 months with a 63% win rate in such situations versus Musetti's 59%.
• Current event form should also be considered as both players might perform differently depending on the ongoing tournament dynamics.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

As Felix Auger Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti prepare for their upcoming match, several factors come into play. Felix has demonstrated strong capability in second serve and pressure situations, suggesting a solid all-around game.

On the other hand, Lorenzo Musetti holds an edge in overall head-to-head performance and returns with a notable success rate against slightly tougher opponents. His clay court proficiency also indicates a high skill level, though he faces a surface disadvantage against Felix.

The statistics on decisive sets reveal that Felix shows resilience in critical match moments. However, Musetti's recent success in their head-to-head clashes offers him psychological leverage. Coupled with consistent wins over top-ranking players, Musetti showcases readiness for high-stakes matches.

Given these insights, while both players exhibit strengths that could influence the game's outcome, Lorenzo Musetti is slightly more poised to secure a victory, leveraging his head-to-head success and experience against formidable opponents.